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Interpreting the news... Itsdb 08/17/06
    HARTFORD, Conn. - Ned Lamont, whose anti-war campaign rattled the political landscape by toppling Sen. Joe Lieberman in Connecticut's Democratic primary, is gaining support among voters - but Lieberman still has an edge, according to a poll released Thursday.

    The Quinnipiac University poll has Lieberman leading Lamont among registered voters 49 percent to 38 percent. Republican Alan Schlesinger gets support from 4 percent. Among likely voters, Lieberman was supported by 53 percent, compared to Lamont's 41 percent and Schlesinger's 4 percent.

    Lieberman, a nationally known centrist who has been criticized by many Democrats for supporting the war in Iraq and a perceived closeness to President Bush, lost the Aug. 8 Democratic primary by 10,000 votes. Political pundits say the primary was evidence of voters' frustration with the war and predict it could have national political ramifications.

    Lieberman's advantage in the general election comes from broad support among unaffiliated and Republican voters. Fifty-three percent of likely voters polled said he deserves to be re-elected, and nearly half doubted that Lamont, a political novice who founded a company that wires college campuses for cable television, has enough experience to be senator.

    "Senator Lieberman's support among Republicans is nothing short of amazing. It more than offsets what he has lost among Democrats," poll director Douglas Schwartz said. "As long as Lieberman maintains this kind of support among Republicans, while holding a significant number of Democratic votes, the veteran senator will be hard to beat."

    Lamont, however, is improving since a July 20 Quinnipiac poll. In that survey of registered voters, he trailed Lieberman 51 percent to 27 percent with Schlesinger getting 9 percent. The latest poll quizzed both registered voters and voters likely to cast ballots; the July 20 poll only questioned registered voters.

    Top state and national Democrats, including Sens. John Kerry, Ted Kennedy, Chris Dodd, Hillary Clinton and Frank Lautenberg, abandoned Lieberman after the primary and are endorsing Lamont. Former Sen. John Edwards, the 2004 candidate for vice president, was to campaign for Lamont on Thursday.

    Some Senate Republicans, meanwhile, are throwing their support behind Lieberman instead of Schlesinger, who has been dogged by revelations of that he was sued by two New Jersey casinos for gambling debts, and that he gambled at a Connecticut casino under a false name in the 1990s while a state legislator.

    Messages seeking comment were left with the three campaigns early Thursday.

    The telephone poll was conducted between Aug. 10 to 14. Quinnipiac surveyed 1,319 registered voters and the poll has a sampling error margin of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points. Among the 1,083 likely voters, the margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    You'd think Lamont was about to pull away with from the pack according to this interpretation. In July Lieberman had 51 percent of registered voters. Today he has 49 percent of registered voters so he lost maybe 2% of those who may or may not vote.

    Yet among likely voters his lead increases from 11 percent of registered voters to 12 percent of likely voters, while Schlesinger is in retreat. That apparently adds up to "Lamont is gaining support" while Lieberman still has "an edge."

    If I remember right, there was a 7 percent turnout in the Connecticut primary, with Lamont winning by 4 percent. How did Michael Moore put it? Oh yeah, a "resounding defeat" for Lieberman. Lamont has all the big guns out now, Kennedy, Kerry, Hillary, etc., not to mention Michael Moore and the moonbat society trumpeting this "resounding defeat" by 4 percent of Democrats, yet a 12 point lead among likely voters is "an edge"?

    Like I said before, Lieberman is going to win.

    Comments?

      Clarification/Follow-up by Itsdb on 08/18/06 4:00 pm:
      I love it when the moonbats show how idiotic and hypocritical they are. So Kos is whining that Joe "wants to stab his allies and his party in the back."

      You mean like this?



      Clarification/Follow-up by tomder55 on 08/18/06 4:20 pm:
      what a rogues gallery !!!

 
Summary of Answers Received Answered On Answered By Average Rating
1. Since everything you have been cheerleading for over the las...
08/17/06 Coup_de_GraceExcellent or Above Average Answer
2. I agree. I predict Lieberman winning by a double-digit marg...
08/18/06 ETWolverineExcellent or Above Average Answer
3. Predictably the Demon-crats have threatened to penalize Lieb...
08/18/06 tomder55Excellent or Above Average Answer
4. Ah, the "inspired", unchangeable, all powerful polls....
08/18/06 drgadeExcellent or Above Average Answer
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