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Bush’s approval ratings trends since 9/30/05. |
ETWolverine |
12/16/05 |
Here is some information from major pollsters regarding Bush's approval ratings. I'm trying to track the trends in his popularity. I'm not sure if this will come out properly... I have it set up in a grid-format, but I don't know if it will take on Answerway's system.
Fox News/Opinion Dynamics.
Approve Disapprove Unsure % % % 12/13-14/05 42 51 7 11/29-30/05 42 48 10 11/8-9/05 36 53 11 10/25-26/05 41 51 8 10/11-12/05 40 51 9
Diageo/Hotline Poll
Approve Disapprove Unsure % % % 12/12-13/05 50 47 3 11/11-15/05 39 59 2 10/12-16/05 40 57 2
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll
Approve Disapprove Unsure % % % 12/9-12/05 39 55 6 11/4-7/05 38 57 5 10/8-10/05 39 54 7
Gallup Poll and CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll
Approve Disapprove Unsure % % % 12/9-11/05 42 55 3 12/5-8/05 43 52 5 11/17-20/05 38 57 5 11/11-13/05 37 60 3 11/7-10/05 40 55 5 10/28-30/05 41 56 3 10/24-26/05 41 56 3 10/21-23/05 42 55 3 10/13-16/05 39 58 3
Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll
Approve Disapprove Neither/ Mixed Unsure % % % % 12/8-11/05 42 55 1 1 11/17-20/05 41 52 5 2
Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey
Approve Disapprove Unsure % % % 12/7-11/05 38 54 8 11/3-6/05 36 55 9 10/12-24/05 40 52 8 10/6-10/05 38 56 6
Zogby America Poll
Excellent/Good Fair/Poor % % 12/6-8/05 38 62 10/29 - 11/2/05 39 61 10/19-21/05 45 55
Associated Press-Ipsos poll
Approve Disapprove Mixed Unsure % % % % 12/5-7/05 42 57 1 1 11/7-9/05 37 61 1 1 10/31 - 11/2/05 37 59 3 1 10/3-5/05 39 58 3 -
CBS News/New York Times Poll
Approve Disapprove Unsure 12/2 - 6/05 40 53 7 10/30 - 11/1/05 35 57 8 10/3-5/05 37 58 5
The basic overall trend that I am seeing from these polls is that Bush hit his popularity low point in late October and early November. However, over the past couple of weeks his numbers have been creeping back up. The highest poll number shown is from Diageo/Hotline, which currently has Bush at 50%... an 11 point jump in a one month period. This is the ONLY poll to show such a huge jump, and so I would take it with a grain of salt. The Cook/RT poll has only been in existence long enough for 2 polls to take place, so no “trend” can really be gleaned from them. Furthermore, until they have a proven track record, I would look askance at anything they say. Only Zogby has Bush still trending downward. All other polls show Bush’s numbers going up over the past month or so. Most of those polls put his approval rating at 42%, and so I think that is a reasonable assumption.
Interesting information. Bush is not out of the game yet…
Elliot |
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