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| Arafat's Health |
ETWolverine |
10/28/04 |
Most of the people that I have been talking to have assumed that Arafat's death would be a good thin for Israel.
I wonder if that is true.
John Gambling and Malcolm Honeline were speculating about this issue yesterday. One of their speculations caught me off guard.
The Sharon plan for unilateral pullout and closing off the West Bank is predicated on the fact that as long as Yasser Arafat is in power, Israel has no peace partner.
If Arafat is out of the way, that may not be seen as the case anymore.
If Arafat dies, the EU may pressure Israel and say, "Arafat is dead, now go and find a peace partner." And Israel may have no political choice but to comply. This could put the whole pullout plan on hold, throwing Sharon's plans into complete disarray.
I can't find any specific reason to disagree with this possibility, and I know Malcolm Honeline well enough to know that he know's what he's talking about. I find that just a bit scary.
Your comments are appreciated.
Elliot |
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