Question Details	Asked By	Asked On
2004 Elections	USstudent244	10/13/03
Hello i have a question regarding the upcoming presidential election 2004. would you please assist me on this one. I just want to have a better concept for my class simulation. THANK YOU IN ADVANCE If I were to advise President Bush about his prospects for the 2004 election, what would I tell him about how the distribution of partisan identifiers in the electorate should affect his strategy in the general election?
Answered By		Answered On
elgin_republicans		10/17/03
Remind him that for the first time since the 1940s less people identify themselves as Democrats than as Republlicans. This by the way, is differnt than there are more Republicans than Democrats. Democrats have been losing at a greater rate than Republicans have been gaining. In anycase, he has to woo those recent Democratic defections most strongly in the states that he narrowly lost in the last election. Iowa, New Mexico, Wisconsin are examples of very close results that can "easily" be turned around, along with a little more effort in places like Michigan and Pennsylvania. Your larger urban population centers in states like New York, California, and Illinois will continue to vote for Democrats, and probably carry that state. So, hold on to the states won in 2000, and work on the swing voters in the "swing" states. Actually, looking at the map, I don't see how any of the current Democratic contenders can maintain ALL their previously won states plus Florida. Their current crop of candidates do not seem to have any geographic appeal outside of the Northeast. Even Edwards doesn't seem to have a very big following in the South.

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